http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tommy_John_surgeryRecovery
Chances of a complete recovery after surgery are estimated today at 85 to 90 percent. At the time of Tommy John's operation, Jobe put his chances at 1 in 100. After his surgery in 1974, John spent 18 months rehabilitating his arm, returned for the 1976 season, and went on to pitch in the major leagues until 1989 at age 46. Today, the procedure takes about an hour. Full rehabilitation takes about a year for pitchers and about six months for position players. Usually, pitchers who have the surgery can get their full range of motion back after about two months and can start doing weight exercises. For the next four months, they can increase the weight that they use and start doing exercises that emphasize all parts of their arm.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17279038
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/2003-07-28-tommy-john-q-and-a_x.htm
